The Coca-Cola 600
The NASCAR Sprint Cup Series returns to Charlotte Motor Speedway for the 13th race of the 2010 season, the Coca-Cola 600. NASCAR expert Brian Brown took a look at past performances, season trends, and spoke with NASCAR contacts to predict how the field should finish on Sunday night.
When: Sunday May 30, 2010; 6:16 p.m./et.
Weather: Partly cloudy with a high around 84; wind out of the ESE at 3 mph Chance of precipitation 10%.
The Track: Charlotte Motor Speedway
CMS is a 1.5 mile quad-oval. It has 24 degree banking in the turns and five degree banking on the straight-aways.
Key to Race: THE TRACK THAT JOHNSON OWNS
Not only is Lowe's on the front of Jimmie Johnson's car, but it is also the former name of the track that he dominates. Johnson has finished in the top two in 11 of the last 18 races (including All-Star Challenges) at the track. It is tough to pick against J.J. this weekend.
Qualifying Procedures:
47 cars will attempt to qualify for 43 spots. Cars not in the top 35 in the 2010 owner point standings will have to qualify based on speed. Starting positions 1-43 will be determined by qualifying on Thursday, May 27 at 7:10 pm/et.
Fantasy Cheat Sheet:
Top 5
No. 48 Jimmie Johnson: Johnson has dominated Lowe's Motor Speedway in his career. He is a MUST use this week.
No. 5 Mark Martin: Martin has 17 top five finishes during his career at CMS. He is in great shape for his age so he shouldn't have an issue getting tired during the 600 laps.
No. 9 Kasey Kahne: Kahne won the All Star Challenge and the Coca-Cola 600 at CMS in 2008. He will be fast again this weekend.
No. 24 Jeff Gordon: Gordon won the October race at CMS in 2007 for his fifth career win at the track. His past success at the track makes him a great option.
No. 18 Kyle Busch: Rowdy has been great at CMS the past two years. He will be fast again this weekend.
6 to 10
No. 17 Matt Kenseth: Kenseth had one of the top cars at CMS last October. He is a good pick this week.
No. 20 Joey Logano: Logano was awesome at CMS last year. He will crack the top 10 again on Sunday.
No. 11 Denny Hamlin: Hamlin has been running great lately. If he can avoid an accident he is a lock to crack the top 10.
No. 2 Kurt Busch: Busch was fast at CMS in 2008 and during last weekend's All Star race. He should take the checkers inside the top 10 this weekend.
No. 31 Jeff Burton: Burton has won three races at CMS so he knows his way around the oval. He should be the final car inside the top 10.
11 to 20
No. 99 Carl Edwards: Edwards has finished in the top 15 in all but two of his career starts at CMS. We like his chances on Sunday.
No. 29 Kevin Harvick: Harvick hasn't finished better than 13th in any full-length race at CMS since 2001. This could be the weekend that streak ends.
No. 16 Greg Biffle: Biffle had a great car during in both races at CMS in 2008, but he was average at the track last year. He should be back with a top 15 finish this visit.
No. 42 Juan Pablo Montoya: Montoya hasn't had a ton of success at Charlotte during his career. He isn't a great choice this weekend.
No. 33 Clint Bowyer: Bowyer has brought just two great cars to CMS in eight career starts. He is more of a top 15 driver this weekend than a top 10 driver.
No. 00 David Reutimann: Reutimann led just five laps at CMS last May, but one of them happened to be the final one. His win was a complete fluke, but he should be strong enough for another top 20 finish this weekend.
No. 14 Tony Stewart: CMS isn't one of Stewart's favorite tracks. He has averaged just a 17th place finish at the track during his career.
No. 88 Dale Earnhardt Jr.: Junior has finished in the top 11 in seven of his last 11 starts at CMS, but he has been awful the past month. He is a risky pick due to his recent struggles.
No. 39 Ryan Newman: Newman has eight poles in 18 career starts at CMS. He should qualify strong and a top 20 finish is expected.
No. 83 Casey Mears: Mears steps behind the wheel of the No. 83 car due to Brian Vickers' illness. Mears won the 2007 Coca-Cola 600, but that was more a fluke than a solid driving effort. He should crack the top 20, but he isn't worth using as much more than a fourth driver in fantasy leagues.
21 to 30
No. 12 Brad Keselowski: Keselowski finished 12th in his first trip to CMS. He is a great option this weekend.
No. 1 Jamie McMurray: McMurray has been super streaky so far this year. He has four top 10 finishes and four 30 or worse finishes. He will finish just outside the top 20 this trip to Charlotte.
No. 56 Martin Truex Jr.: Truex has two top 10 finishes in nine career starts at CMS. He will be doing well to crack the top 20 on Sunday.
No. 6 David Ragan: Ragan has finished has averaged a 24th place at CMS during his career. We expect he will finish right around his average this weekend.
No. 71 Bobby Labonte: Labonte has been terrific at CMS during his career. If you are ever going to have the No. 71 car on your team this is the weekend.
No. 98 Paul Menard: CMS has never been a strong track for Menard. He will just miss finishing inside the top 25.
No. 82 Scott Speed: Speed should have his car inside the top 30 this weekend.
No. 47 Marcos Ambrose: Ambrose continues to be mediocre this season. He is just a fair-to-middlin' pick.
No. 77 Sam Hornish Jr.: Hornish Jr. should crack the top 30 once again this weekend.
No. 19 Elliott Sadler: Sadler has been bad in eight of the last nine races at CMS. He is a risky pick this weekend.
31 to 35
No. 43 A.J. Allmendinger: A.J. has finished in the top 20 in just two of his six career starts at CMS. He will miss the top 30 this weekend.
No. 38 Travis Kvapil: Kvapil will struggle to finish inside the top 30.
No. 7 Robby Gordon: Gordon somehow stumbled and bumbled into a third place finish at CMS last May. He will finish about 25 spots worse this visit to CMS.
No. 78 Regan Smith: Smith should be saved for those in the deepest leagues.
No. 21 Bill Elliott: Awesome Bill won't be awesome this weekend.
Field Fillers
No. 26 David Stremme
No. 55 Michael McDowell
No. 87 Joe Nemechek
No. 13 Max Papis
No. 09 Mike Bliss
No. 32 Reed Sorenson
No. 34 Kevin Conway
No. 46 J.J. Yeley
No. 37 David Gilliland
No. 66 Dave Blaney
No. 64 Todd Bodine
No. 36 TBD
Brownie's Picks
Top Four:
1. Jimmie Johnson
2. Mark Martin
3. Kasey Kahne
4. Jeff Gordon
Sleepers:
1. Bobby Labonte
2. Casey Mears
Bust of the Week:
Dale Earnhardt Jr.
The NASCAR Sprint Cup Series returns to Charlotte Motor Speedway for the 13th race of the 2010 season, the Coca-Cola 600. NASCAR expert Brian Brown took a look at past performances, season trends, and spoke with NASCAR contacts to predict how the field should finish on Sunday night.
When: Sunday May 30, 2010; 6:16 p.m./et.
Weather: Partly cloudy with a high around 84; wind out of the ESE at 3 mph Chance of precipitation 10%.
The Track: Charlotte Motor Speedway
CMS is a 1.5 mile quad-oval. It has 24 degree banking in the turns and five degree banking on the straight-aways.
Key to Race: THE TRACK THAT JOHNSON OWNS
Not only is Lowe's on the front of Jimmie Johnson's car, but it is also the former name of the track that he dominates. Johnson has finished in the top two in 11 of the last 18 races (including All-Star Challenges) at the track. It is tough to pick against J.J. this weekend.
Qualifying Procedures:
47 cars will attempt to qualify for 43 spots. Cars not in the top 35 in the 2010 owner point standings will have to qualify based on speed. Starting positions 1-43 will be determined by qualifying on Thursday, May 27 at 7:10 pm/et.
Fantasy Cheat Sheet:
Top 5
No. 48 Jimmie Johnson: Johnson has dominated Lowe's Motor Speedway in his career. He is a MUST use this week.
No. 5 Mark Martin: Martin has 17 top five finishes during his career at CMS. He is in great shape for his age so he shouldn't have an issue getting tired during the 600 laps.
No. 9 Kasey Kahne: Kahne won the All Star Challenge and the Coca-Cola 600 at CMS in 2008. He will be fast again this weekend.
No. 24 Jeff Gordon: Gordon won the October race at CMS in 2007 for his fifth career win at the track. His past success at the track makes him a great option.
No. 18 Kyle Busch: Rowdy has been great at CMS the past two years. He will be fast again this weekend.
6 to 10
No. 17 Matt Kenseth: Kenseth had one of the top cars at CMS last October. He is a good pick this week.
No. 20 Joey Logano: Logano was awesome at CMS last year. He will crack the top 10 again on Sunday.
No. 11 Denny Hamlin: Hamlin has been running great lately. If he can avoid an accident he is a lock to crack the top 10.
No. 2 Kurt Busch: Busch was fast at CMS in 2008 and during last weekend's All Star race. He should take the checkers inside the top 10 this weekend.
No. 31 Jeff Burton: Burton has won three races at CMS so he knows his way around the oval. He should be the final car inside the top 10.
11 to 20
No. 99 Carl Edwards: Edwards has finished in the top 15 in all but two of his career starts at CMS. We like his chances on Sunday.
No. 29 Kevin Harvick: Harvick hasn't finished better than 13th in any full-length race at CMS since 2001. This could be the weekend that streak ends.
No. 16 Greg Biffle: Biffle had a great car during in both races at CMS in 2008, but he was average at the track last year. He should be back with a top 15 finish this visit.
No. 42 Juan Pablo Montoya: Montoya hasn't had a ton of success at Charlotte during his career. He isn't a great choice this weekend.
No. 33 Clint Bowyer: Bowyer has brought just two great cars to CMS in eight career starts. He is more of a top 15 driver this weekend than a top 10 driver.
No. 00 David Reutimann: Reutimann led just five laps at CMS last May, but one of them happened to be the final one. His win was a complete fluke, but he should be strong enough for another top 20 finish this weekend.
No. 14 Tony Stewart: CMS isn't one of Stewart's favorite tracks. He has averaged just a 17th place finish at the track during his career.
No. 88 Dale Earnhardt Jr.: Junior has finished in the top 11 in seven of his last 11 starts at CMS, but he has been awful the past month. He is a risky pick due to his recent struggles.
No. 39 Ryan Newman: Newman has eight poles in 18 career starts at CMS. He should qualify strong and a top 20 finish is expected.
No. 83 Casey Mears: Mears steps behind the wheel of the No. 83 car due to Brian Vickers' illness. Mears won the 2007 Coca-Cola 600, but that was more a fluke than a solid driving effort. He should crack the top 20, but he isn't worth using as much more than a fourth driver in fantasy leagues.
21 to 30
No. 12 Brad Keselowski: Keselowski finished 12th in his first trip to CMS. He is a great option this weekend.
No. 1 Jamie McMurray: McMurray has been super streaky so far this year. He has four top 10 finishes and four 30 or worse finishes. He will finish just outside the top 20 this trip to Charlotte.
No. 56 Martin Truex Jr.: Truex has two top 10 finishes in nine career starts at CMS. He will be doing well to crack the top 20 on Sunday.
No. 6 David Ragan: Ragan has finished has averaged a 24th place at CMS during his career. We expect he will finish right around his average this weekend.
No. 71 Bobby Labonte: Labonte has been terrific at CMS during his career. If you are ever going to have the No. 71 car on your team this is the weekend.
No. 98 Paul Menard: CMS has never been a strong track for Menard. He will just miss finishing inside the top 25.
No. 82 Scott Speed: Speed should have his car inside the top 30 this weekend.
No. 47 Marcos Ambrose: Ambrose continues to be mediocre this season. He is just a fair-to-middlin' pick.
No. 77 Sam Hornish Jr.: Hornish Jr. should crack the top 30 once again this weekend.
No. 19 Elliott Sadler: Sadler has been bad in eight of the last nine races at CMS. He is a risky pick this weekend.
31 to 35
No. 43 A.J. Allmendinger: A.J. has finished in the top 20 in just two of his six career starts at CMS. He will miss the top 30 this weekend.
No. 38 Travis Kvapil: Kvapil will struggle to finish inside the top 30.
No. 7 Robby Gordon: Gordon somehow stumbled and bumbled into a third place finish at CMS last May. He will finish about 25 spots worse this visit to CMS.
No. 78 Regan Smith: Smith should be saved for those in the deepest leagues.
No. 21 Bill Elliott: Awesome Bill won't be awesome this weekend.
Field Fillers
No. 26 David Stremme
No. 55 Michael McDowell
No. 87 Joe Nemechek
No. 13 Max Papis
No. 09 Mike Bliss
No. 32 Reed Sorenson
No. 34 Kevin Conway
No. 46 J.J. Yeley
No. 37 David Gilliland
No. 66 Dave Blaney
No. 64 Todd Bodine
No. 36 TBD
Brownie's Picks
Top Four:
1. Jimmie Johnson
2. Mark Martin
3. Kasey Kahne
4. Jeff Gordon
Sleepers:
1. Bobby Labonte
2. Casey Mears
Bust of the Week:
Dale Earnhardt Jr.